3.3.6 斐波那契和蜡烛线配合使用
Combining Fibs with Candlesticks
If you’ve been paying attention in class, you’d know by now that you can combine the Fibonacci tool with support and resistance levels and trend lines to create a simple but super awesome trading strategy.
如果你上课认真听讲的话,现在你应该掌握了斐波那契工具结合支撑阻力位以及趋势线进行简单却相当有效的交易策略。
But we ain’t done yet! In this lesson, we’re going to teach you how to combine the Fibonacci tool with your knowledge of Japanese candlestick patterns that you learned in Grade 2.
但是这还不够。在本课,我们将教你如何利用斐波那契工具结合你已经在二年级掌握的日本蜡烛线形态进行交易。
In combining the Fibonacci tool with candlestick patterns, we are actually looking for exhaustive candlesticks. If you can tell when buying or selling pressure is exhausted, it can give you a clue of when price may continue trending.
在选择斐波那契工具和蜡烛形态结合使用时,我们会选择实际上看上去动能已经耗竭的蜡烛线。如果你能够识别买入或卖出压力在何处已经衰竭,那么斐波那契工具将给你提供价格将在什么时候维持趋势行情的线索。
We here at ealoong.com like to call them "Fibonacci Candlesticks," or "Fib Sticks" for short. Pretty catchy, eh? Let’s take a look at an example to make this clearer.
在本学院,我们称它们会斐波那契蜡烛,或简称FIBS 。很吸引人,是吧?为了更了清楚认识,让我们来看个例子。
Below is a 1-hour chart of EUR/USD.
下图是欧元/美元小时图:
The pair seems to have been in a downtrend the past week, but the move seems to have paused for a bit. Will there be a chance to get in on this downtrend? You know what this means. It’s time to take the Fibonacci tool and get to work!
欧元/美元在过去的一周维持下行态势,但是跌势最近看上去却似乎已经暂停。现在是入场的好机会吗?让我们还是使用斐波那契工具开始工作吧。
As you can see from the chart, we’ve set our Swing High at 1.3364 on March 3, with the Swing
Low at 1.2523 on March 6.
如图,我们选取3月3日高点1.3364和3月6日低点1.2523分别作为我们的波段高点和波段低点。
Since it’s a Friday, you decided to just chill out, take an early day off, and decide when you wanna enter once you see the charts after the weekend.
由于正好是周五,你打算早些休息,并在周末过后决定何时入场。
Whoa! By the time you popped open your charts, you see that EUR/USD has shot up quite a bit from its Friday closing price.
在周末过后,你打开你的技术图形,你看到欧元/美元自周五收盘价水平跳空高开。
While the 50.0% Fib level held for a bit, buyers eventually took the pair higher. You decide to wait and see whether the 61.8% Fib level holds. After all, the last candle was pretty bullish! Who knows, price just might keep shooting up!
尽管50.0%的斐波那契回撤短暂企稳,但买方最终还是推升汇价进一步走高。你决定等待以观察汇价是否将在61.8%的斐波那契回撤位持稳。毕竟,最后一根蜡烛线形态极度看涨,谁又会保证价格不会进一步走高呢。
Well, will you look at that? A long legged doji has formed right smack on the 61.8% Fib level. If you paid attention in Grade 2, you’d know that this is an "exhaustive candle." Has buying pressure die d down? Is resistance at the Fib level holding? It’s possible. Other traders were probably eyeing that Fib level as well.
但随后情形是怎么样的呢?带长上影线的十字星形态在61.8%的斐波那契回撤位附近形成。如果你回顾一下二年级所学习过的课程,你将知道十字星所发出的是趋势衰竭并可能转向的信号。买盘压力是否已经衰竭呢?阻力位是否将在61.8%的斐波那契水平保持稳定呢?如果可能的话,其他交易者们也很可能正关注着这一斐波那契水平。
Is it time to short? You can never know for sure (which is why risk management is so important), but the probability of a reversal looks pretty darn good!
现在是时候选择做空了吗?你永远也不能十分明确的知晓,这也是为什么风险管理是如此的重要,但是汇价反转的几率看上去已经非常高。
If you had shorted right after that doji had formed, you could have made some serious profits. Right after the doji, price stalled for a bit before heading straight down. Take a look at all those red candles!
如果你在十字星形态形成后已经选择做空,你的获利已经相当丰厚。在十字星形成过后,欧元/美元在经历短暂停顿后快速下跌。
It seems that buyers were indeed pretty tired, which allowed sellers to jump back in and take control. Eventually, price went all the way back down to the Swing Low. That was a move of about 500 pips! That could’ve been your trade of the year!
看上去买方确实已经相当疲劳,这让卖方蜂拥入市并控制了市场行情。最终,汇价一叠不回头并回撤至波动低点水平。这一波跌势大约有500点!
Looking for "Fib Sticks" can be really useful, as they can signal whether a Fib level will hold. 斐波那契工具和蜡烛线形态的结合使用相当有效,因为它能够显示,斐波那契水平位是否能够守住。
If it seems that price is stalling on a Fib level, chances are that other traders may have put some orders at those levels. This would act as more confirmation that there is indeed some resistance or support at that price.
如果看上去价格在斐波那契水平走势停顿,可能是其他一些交易者们已经在这些水平放置了一些订单。这将提供进一步的确认信息,即在这一价位确实存在阻力或支撑。
Another nice thing about Fib Sticks is that you don’t need to place limit orders at the Fib levels. You may have some concerns whether the support or resistance will hold since we are looking at a "zone" and not necessarily specific levels.
斐波那契工具和蜡烛线形态结合使用的另一优点是,你不需要在斐波那契水平位设置限价订单。你可能有些担心,汇价是否将在这些支撑或阻力位持稳,因为我们找寻的是一个价格区域,而不是某一特定价位。
This is where you can use your knowledge of candlestick formations.
这也是你能够使用蜡烛线形态的地方。
You could wait for a Fib Stick to form right below or above a Fib level to give you more confirmation on whether you should put in an order.
你能够等到斐波那契和蜡烛线双重形态形成后,比如说蜡烛线运行至斐波那契水平位下方或突破斐波那契水平位,这时你能够获得是否应该下单的确认信息。
If a Fib stick does form, you can just enter a trade at market price since you now have more confirmation that level could be holding.
如果斐波那契和蜡烛线双重形态确实形成,你能够以市价进入,因为现在你有更多的信息确认,汇价将在这一价位持稳。
汇安东方团队是由华尔街的投资银行家及高级交易员组成,拥有全球化视角和领先的投资理念,团队能够为客户提供世界一流的资讯分析和技术指导,让投资人自身获得巨大成长。几年来团队培养了众多年轻的操盘手和理财顾问,不仅提升了投资技能,同时获得更大的财富自由和人生自由。目前团队合作伙伴有香港汇丰银行、花旗银行、澳洲联邦银行等顶尖金融机构。 www.fxcbm.com
3.3.6 斐波那契和蜡烛线配合使用
Combining Fibs with Candlesticks
If you’ve been paying attention in class, you’d know by now that you can combine the Fibonacci tool with support and resistance levels and trend lines to create a simple but super awesome trading strategy.
如果你上课认真听讲的话,现在你应该掌握了斐波那契工具结合支撑阻力位以及趋势线进行简单却相当有效的交易策略。
But we ain’t done yet! In this lesson, we’re going to teach you how to combine the Fibonacci tool with your knowledge of Japanese candlestick patterns that you learned in Grade 2.
但是这还不够。在本课,我们将教你如何利用斐波那契工具结合你已经在二年级掌握的日本蜡烛线形态进行交易。
In combining the Fibonacci tool with candlestick patterns, we are actually looking for exhaustive candlesticks. If you can tell when buying or selling pressure is exhausted, it can give you a clue of when price may continue trending.
在选择斐波那契工具和蜡烛形态结合使用时,我们会选择实际上看上去动能已经耗竭的蜡烛线。如果你能够识别买入或卖出压力在何处已经衰竭,那么斐波那契工具将给你提供价格将在什么时候维持趋势行情的线索。
We here at ealoong.com like to call them "Fibonacci Candlesticks," or "Fib Sticks" for short. Pretty catchy, eh? Let’s take a look at an example to make this clearer.
在本学院,我们称它们会斐波那契蜡烛,或简称FIBS 。很吸引人,是吧?为了更了清楚认识,让我们来看个例子。
Below is a 1-hour chart of EUR/USD.
下图是欧元/美元小时图:
The pair seems to have been in a downtrend the past week, but the move seems to have paused for a bit. Will there be a chance to get in on this downtrend? You know what this means. It’s time to take the Fibonacci tool and get to work!
欧元/美元在过去的一周维持下行态势,但是跌势最近看上去却似乎已经暂停。现在是入场的好机会吗?让我们还是使用斐波那契工具开始工作吧。
As you can see from the chart, we’ve set our Swing High at 1.3364 on March 3, with the Swing
Low at 1.2523 on March 6.
如图,我们选取3月3日高点1.3364和3月6日低点1.2523分别作为我们的波段高点和波段低点。
Since it’s a Friday, you decided to just chill out, take an early day off, and decide when you wanna enter once you see the charts after the weekend.
由于正好是周五,你打算早些休息,并在周末过后决定何时入场。
Whoa! By the time you popped open your charts, you see that EUR/USD has shot up quite a bit from its Friday closing price.
在周末过后,你打开你的技术图形,你看到欧元/美元自周五收盘价水平跳空高开。
While the 50.0% Fib level held for a bit, buyers eventually took the pair higher. You decide to wait and see whether the 61.8% Fib level holds. After all, the last candle was pretty bullish! Who knows, price just might keep shooting up!
尽管50.0%的斐波那契回撤短暂企稳,但买方最终还是推升汇价进一步走高。你决定等待以观察汇价是否将在61.8%的斐波那契回撤位持稳。毕竟,最后一根蜡烛线形态极度看涨,谁又会保证价格不会进一步走高呢。
Well, will you look at that? A long legged doji has formed right smack on the 61.8% Fib level. If you paid attention in Grade 2, you’d know that this is an "exhaustive candle." Has buying pressure die d down? Is resistance at the Fib level holding? It’s possible. Other traders were probably eyeing that Fib level as well.
但随后情形是怎么样的呢?带长上影线的十字星形态在61.8%的斐波那契回撤位附近形成。如果你回顾一下二年级所学习过的课程,你将知道十字星所发出的是趋势衰竭并可能转向的信号。买盘压力是否已经衰竭呢?阻力位是否将在61.8%的斐波那契水平保持稳定呢?如果可能的话,其他交易者们也很可能正关注着这一斐波那契水平。
Is it time to short? You can never know for sure (which is why risk management is so important), but the probability of a reversal looks pretty darn good!
现在是时候选择做空了吗?你永远也不能十分明确的知晓,这也是为什么风险管理是如此的重要,但是汇价反转的几率看上去已经非常高。
If you had shorted right after that doji had formed, you could have made some serious profits. Right after the doji, price stalled for a bit before heading straight down. Take a look at all those red candles!
如果你在十字星形态形成后已经选择做空,你的获利已经相当丰厚。在十字星形成过后,欧元/美元在经历短暂停顿后快速下跌。
It seems that buyers were indeed pretty tired, which allowed sellers to jump back in and take control. Eventually, price went all the way back down to the Swing Low. That was a move of about 500 pips! That could’ve been your trade of the year!
看上去买方确实已经相当疲劳,这让卖方蜂拥入市并控制了市场行情。最终,汇价一叠不回头并回撤至波动低点水平。这一波跌势大约有500点!
Looking for "Fib Sticks" can be really useful, as they can signal whether a Fib level will hold. 斐波那契工具和蜡烛线形态的结合使用相当有效,因为它能够显示,斐波那契水平位是否能够守住。
If it seems that price is stalling on a Fib level, chances are that other traders may have put some orders at those levels. This would act as more confirmation that there is indeed some resistance or support at that price.
如果看上去价格在斐波那契水平走势停顿,可能是其他一些交易者们已经在这些水平放置了一些订单。这将提供进一步的确认信息,即在这一价位确实存在阻力或支撑。
Another nice thing about Fib Sticks is that you don’t need to place limit orders at the Fib levels. You may have some concerns whether the support or resistance will hold since we are looking at a "zone" and not necessarily specific levels.
斐波那契工具和蜡烛线形态结合使用的另一优点是,你不需要在斐波那契水平位设置限价订单。你可能有些担心,汇价是否将在这些支撑或阻力位持稳,因为我们找寻的是一个价格区域,而不是某一特定价位。
This is where you can use your knowledge of candlestick formations.
这也是你能够使用蜡烛线形态的地方。
You could wait for a Fib Stick to form right below or above a Fib level to give you more confirmation on whether you should put in an order.
你能够等到斐波那契和蜡烛线双重形态形成后,比如说蜡烛线运行至斐波那契水平位下方或突破斐波那契水平位,这时你能够获得是否应该下单的确认信息。
If a Fib stick does form, you can just enter a trade at market price since you now have more confirmation that level could be holding.
如果斐波那契和蜡烛线双重形态确实形成,你能够以市价进入,因为现在你有更多的信息确认,汇价将在这一价位持稳。
汇安东方团队是由华尔街的投资银行家及高级交易员组成,拥有全球化视角和领先的投资理念,团队能够为客户提供世界一流的资讯分析和技术指导,让投资人自身获得巨大成长。几年来团队培养了众多年轻的操盘手和理财顾问,不仅提升了投资技能,同时获得更大的财富自由和人生自由。目前团队合作伙伴有香港汇丰银行、花旗银行、澳洲联邦银行等顶尖金融机构。 www.fxcbm.com